A sharper way to read the fights. We turn every upcoming card into clear, confident probabilities — who wins, how it ends, and where the betting markets look soft — so you spend less time guessing and more time deciding.
A win probability and a clear lean on every bout, top to bottom — main card and prelims. Plus a plain-English read on whether it's likely to finish or go the distance.
We compare our number to the best price across the market and flag the bouts where they disagree most — the spots worth a closer look, with the strongest available price shown.
Strikes, takedowns, knockdowns and more — projected fighter by fighter, then lined up against the posted props so you can see where a line looks beatable.
Deep profiles for thousands of fighters: striking and grappling output, finishing tendencies, recent form, the full fight log and a strength rating that ranks the division.
Every fight is evaluated the same way: we weigh each fighter's track record and style against this specific opponent, then translate that into a probability for the win, the method, and how long it lasts. The percentages are calibrated — when we say 65%, we mean it lands about 65% of the time over the long run.
We treat thin résumés with caution. A fighter with only a fight or two of meaningful data gets flagged as limited data and is shown for interest only — never presented as a confident pick.
What you won't find here is hype. The numbers are the numbers, and we'd rather show a coin flip honestly than dress it up.
Fight markets can be sharp, and no model beats them every week. So we don't promise winners — we publish a transparent, forward record instead. The Tracker logs each flagged pick at the price we first saw and grades it against the official result, win or lose.
Use the picks as a research signal and a starting point — not a guarantee. The judgment, the bankroll and the final call are always yours.